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Investors making a comeback | Oracle Advisory Group

22 February 2024

During the past couple of years, property investors have been less active as interest rate rises began eating into their profits. However, as 2024 begins, it’s clear more investors are returning to the real estate market.

According to the ABS lending indicators report for October, new loan commitments for investors increased by 5% in one month, up 12.1% over the year.

As market conditions slowly improve, vacancy rates remain extremely tight, and interest rates are tipped to fall later this year, some savvy individuals are jumping back in before a new investor wave rolls around. However, before diving straight in there are some simple steps needed to test the waters first.

Before launching into a real estate investment, whether it’s your first or the next in your portfolio, be sure to figure out your property purpose. Are you seeking long-term capital growth or an immediate cash flow? Understanding your goals will help shape a successful investment strategy and will help guide your decision-making.


Capital growth versus positive cash flow

If it’s a steady passive income you’re after, a property with positive cash flow may be the right path. On the other hand, if you're focused on long-term wealth accumulation, an investment with the possibility for substantial capital growth could be more suitable. The two don’t have to be mutually exclusive either, it can be possible to have both at the same time.

Deciding which strategy would work best for your personal financial circumstances is crucial and planning should start well before the house hunting does. By creating a detailed budget, you can ensure your investment aligns with any future income expectations. Crunch the numbers to find out what the personal pros and cons could be for either strategy.

Those investors prioritising capital growth may need to accept a negative cash flow in the short term with the expectation of substantial profits one day upon resale. Those taking the direction of positive cash flow may have to ride with rental market fluctuations and be prepared to pay income tax on their earnings.


    Understand the positive versus the negative

    Positive gearing occurs when rental income exceeds expenses, resulting in a profitable cash flow that is taxable income. On the flip side, negative gearing is when expenses such as home loan interest, maintenance, and council rates exceed any rental income leading to a tax deduction.

    Setting up your investment to fit either scenario should be part of your planning. Understanding the ‘for’ and ‘against’ of each option is vital when deciding how to structure your investment portfolio. Therefore, it makes great financial sense to seek the advice of a professional who can provide valuable insights tailored to your specific situation.


        Get to know the risks

        Every investor has a different level of risk tolerance. It's essential to assess your comfort level with certain financial risks before investing in real estate. Consider factors such as market volatility, rental vacancies - and the most recent challenge of interest rate fluctuations. Anyone with a low risk tolerance may want to lean towards those investments with a lower risk profile possibly meaning smaller returns but greater stability. Alternatively, if you're comfortable with more risk, then explore properties with the potential for higher returns.


            Do the homework on values and hidden costs

            Thoroughly research the rental market in your desired location to estimate sale prices and the potential rental income. Then research where you believe local property prices and demand (by both tenants and future buyers) are headed so you’ll be able to get an idea of long-term capital growth.

            Additionally, determine what your mortgage repayments will be while working in a buffer for any more interest rate movements and periods when the property could be sitting vacant. Carefully consider letting and property management fees, any strata costs, insurance, council rates, maintenance expenses, renovation budgets, as well as any other potential ongoing charges.

              If you're considering property investing, don't hesitate to contact the Oracle Lending team to speak with one of our professional mortgage brokers.

                Important information – Oracle Advisory Group makes no representation or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness of any statement in it including, without limitation, any forecasts. The information in this document is general information only and is not based on the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. An investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this document, and seek their own professional advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The information provided in the document is current as the time of publication.

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